EXAMINING LIMITATIONS IN COUNTERING CHINA’S ASCENDENCY: NAVIGATING CHALLENGES IN AUKUS WITHIN INDO-PACIFIC

Abstract

In the evolving Indo-Pacific geopolitical landscape, the AUKUS alliance, comprising the United States, the United Kingdom, and Australia, has emerged as a response to counter China's expanding influence. However, this research using qualitative method critically examines the potential limitations hindering AUKUS from effectively countering China's ascendancy using power transition theory. Despite its promise, AUKUS faces intricate challenges that may impact its role as a strong counterforce to China, necessitating an exploration of its complexities. This paper delves into the historical context of China's rise, its economic growth, military modernization, and geopolitical strategies that challenge U.S. ambitions. A detailed analysis of AUKUS components, diplomatic implications, and regional dynamics reveals potential shortcomings. The research underscores China's multidimensional response, leveraging economic aid and technological prowess. Moreover, it discusses AUKUS weaknesses, such as economic leverage disparities, technological sharing approaches, and domestic challenges within its member states. Drawing lessons from historical failures to contain rising powers, the paper explores alternative strategies, emphasizing the need for nuanced engagement and tailoring approaches to diverse regional cultures. As AUKUS confronts these challenges, this research provides insights into navigating the complex geopolitical landscape and shaping future strategies to counterbalance China's influence.